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Perform technical analysis
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: BTC shows Diamond pattern. RSI at 80 (Overbought - Potential pullback). MACD: neutral. Price vs MA: Strong downtrend. Volume: decreasing. Signal: HOLD. Confidence: 81%. Target: $36710.45, Stop: $32971.43.
BTC at $33991.16, RSI: 80, MACD: neutral, MA50: $34578.83, MA200: $36780.68
Analyze Point of Control (POC)
POINT OF CONTROL: POC at $30395.69 with 6.7M volume over 86h. Current: $24626.42 (19.0% away). Market bias: BEARISH - Below POC. POC strength: WEAK. Strategy: Short rallies to POC. Target: Next support below. Probability of POC test: 62%. Key level: POC acts as resistance.
POC: $30395.69, Current: $24626.42, Volume at POC: 6.7M, Time: 86h
Analyze UNI trading strategy in Bull market at $48358
TRADING ANALYSIS for UNI | Market: Bull, Price: $48,358. Strategy: Ride the trend. Risk Level: High. Expected Return: 10%. Time Frame: 1W.
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Implement Scalping strategy with $63283 capital and 1.9% risk
STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION: Scalping | Capital: $63,283, Risk: 1.9%. Position Size: $1200 per trade. Stop Loss: 4%. Take Profit: 10%. Expected Trades: 42 per month.
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RSI: 54, Volume: Normal. What's your decision?
DECISION ANALYSIS | RSI: 54 (Neutral), Volume: Normal. DECISION: Hold. Reasoning: Market uncertainty. Confidence: 66%.
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Process and accept trading loss
LOSS ACCEPTANCE: -17% loss from wrong_direction. Current emotion: frustrated. Reframe: Part of probability - not every trade wins. Key lesson: Review analysis but accept uncertainty. Required action: Take mandatory 2-hour break minimum. Acceptance mantra: 'Losses are tuition for market education.' Statistical context: This size loss occurs 27% of the time in your system. Recovery approach: No revenge trades. Next trade mindset: Clean slate, full focus.
Loss: -17%, Type: wrong_direction, Emotional response: frustrated
Perform on-chain analysis
ON-CHAIN ANALYSIS: ETH network activity - 303k active addresses (-6.6% vs 30d avg). Daily transactions: 235k. Gas fees: 134 Gwei. Exchange balance: -2.3% change. Long-term holders: -3.4% change. Signal: BEARISH - HODLers selling. Network health: Normal. Miner/Validator sentiment: Positive.
ETH Active addresses: 303k, Transactions: 235k
RSI: 34, Volume: Low. What's your decision?
DECISION ANALYSIS | RSI: 34, Volume: Low. DECISION: Sell. Reasoning and confidence level provided.
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Perform technical analysis
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: ETH shows Triple Bottom pattern. RSI at 47 (Neutral zone). MACD: neutral. Price vs MA: Trend transition. Volume: increasing. Signal: HOLD. Confidence: 73%. Target: $2346.14, Stop: $2107.18.
ETH at $2172.35, RSI: 47, MACD: neutral, MA50: $2241.10, MA200: $2097.41
Cold start sonrası cache warming?
🔥 CACHE WARMING • Phase 1: Critical data (6s) - Top 100 tokens - Active trading pairs • Phase 2: Secondary (19s) - Historical data - Order books • Phase 3: Predictive (51s) - ML-based prefetch - User patterns • Progress: ████████░░ 80% • ETA: 50s
Cache status: Empty, Critical endpoints: 18, Warm-up time budget: 96s
Assess current liquidity conditions
LIQUIDITY CYCLE: 02:00 UTC weekday. Active exchanges: 10/10. Liquidity: MODERATE. Best strategy now: Normal trading. Market maker activity: 40%.
Time: 02:00 UTC on weekday, 10 major exchanges active
Analyze DOT trading strategy in Sideways market at $45238
TRADING ANALYSIS for DOT | Market: Sideways, Price: $45,238. Strategy: Range trading. Risk Level: High. Expected Return: 44%. Time Frame: 1M.
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Check calendar impact on trading
CALENDAR ALERT: Options Friday coming in 0 days. Impact level: LOW. Action: NORMAL TRADING. Historical volatility during Options Friday: 36%. Prepare: Tighten stops.
Event: Options Friday in 0 days, expected impact: low
Detect iceberg orders
ICEBERG DETECTION: Order at $10012.08 showing 49406 units. Refill pattern: random_refill. Time at level: 7 min. Detection: REGULAR ORDER. Estimated real size: 49406 units (wysiwyg). Confidence: 90%. Strategy: Trade normally. Market impact: Temporary level. Execution advice: Can trade through.
Visible: 49406 units at $10012.08, Pattern: random_refill, Time: 7 min
Retrieve from extended memory
📚 MEMORY RETRIEVAL: Accessing correlation_matrix. Query: optimization. Results: Correlation matrix shows 17 significant relationships above 82% threshold. Relevance: 82% match. Memory confidence: 87%. Data age: 114 days old. Recommendation: Apply to current decision. Memory integration: Partial weight.
Memory type: correlation_matrix, Query: optimization, Relevance threshold: 82%
Check calendar impact on trading
CALENDAR ALERT: Thanksgiving coming in 5 days. Impact level: HIGH. Action: NORMAL TRADING. Historical volatility during Thanksgiving: +169%. Prepare: Hedge positions.
Event: Thanksgiving in 5 days, expected impact: high
Analyze current market conditions
MARKET ANALYSIS: ATOM at $12.27 (-13.0% 24h). Market Status: Strong Bearish. Volume: $2.06B (High). Dominance: 11.3%. Action: Avoid longs, consider shorts. Support: $11.66, Resistance: $12.89. Trend: Downtrend.
ATOM Price: $12.27, 24h: -13.0%, Volume: $2.06B, Rank: #23
Decision tree scenario: position_sizing_tree
🌲 **Decision Tree: position_sizing_tree** **Level 1: Initial Assessment** ├─ Signal Detection: ✓ ├─ Risk Assessment: 10/10 └─ Confidence: 86% **Level 2: Decision Branch** ❌ Conditions Not Met → WAIT • Action: Set alerts • Review in: 12 hours
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Run simulation before live trading
SIMULATION COMPLETE: paper_trade over 143 days. Results: +83.09% profit | Max DD: -39.84% | Sharpe: 1.41. Trades simulated: 678 in choppy market. Assessment: NEEDS IMPROVEMENT. Recommendation: Optimize and re-test. Issues found: Excessive drawdown. Confidence in results: 64%. Next step: Fix issues and re-simulate.
Simulation: paper_trade, Duration: 143 days, Trades: 678, Market: choppy
Perform on-chain analysis
ON-CHAIN ANALYSIS: ETH network activity - 333k active addresses (+17.3% vs 30d avg). Daily transactions: 485k. Gas fees: 12 Gwei. Exchange balance: +5.2% change. Long-term holders: +4.9% change. Signal: BEARISH - Coins entering exchanges. Network health: Normal. Miner/Validator sentiment: Negative.
ETH Active addresses: 333k, Transactions: 485k
Adjust learning rate for new information
LEARNING RATE: Set to 0.01 for critical data. Reliability: 97% | Recency: 1 day old | Current knowledge: 50% confident. Integration method: Track but do not integrate. Validation required: Test on 49 paper trades before full adoption. Memory weight: New 0% vs Old 100%.
Data importance: critical, Reliability: 97%, Recency: 1 day old, Current confidence: 50%
Analyze depth risks
ORDER BOOK DEPTH for ETH/USDT | Depth: $6192058 across 384 orders. Analysis at 2% from mid: $2476823 buy side, $3715235 sell side. Your $39321 order: Sufficient depth. Coinbase depth characteristics: Real orders vs spoofing detection important. Depth chart reading: Look for walls (support/resistance), gaps (slippage zones), imbalances (direction bias). Deep book benefits: Better pricing, less manipulation, institutional friendly.
{"concept": "Depth", "pair": "ETH/USDT", "liquidity": "$6192058", "trade_size": "$39321", "exchange": "Coinbase"}
Arbitrage opportunity: options_arb
**Arbitrage Analysis: options_arb** Checking arbitrage opportunities. • Spread: 0.94% • Profitability: No • Risk Level: Medium
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Generate risk warning
⚠️ RISK WARNING: CRITICAL - news event risk this week. Details: Major announcement in this week. REQUIRED ACTION: EXIT ALL POSITIONS IMMEDIATELY. Potential impact: 13% portfolio volatility. Safe haven: USDT/USDC. Duration: 14 hours expected.
Warning type: news event, Severity: CRITICAL, Timeline: this week
SOL/1d grafiğinde formation tespiti yap. Mevcut fiyat: $11,993.44. Son 50 mum verisi mevcut.
📊 FORMASİYON TESPİTİ 🎯 Bulunan Pattern: Double Bottom • Timeframe: 1d • Güvenilirlik: 85% • Pattern tamamlanma: %86 🔄 DOUBLE BOTTOM ANALİZİ • İlk dip: $11393.77 • İkinci dip: $11405.16 • Neckline: $12353.24 • Hedef: $13312.72 ✅ Onay: Neckline kırılımı + Volume artışı
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Calculate volatility-adjusted position size
VOLATILITY SIZING: Current 54% vs baseline 42%. Adjustment ratio: 0.78x. Base position: 4% → Adjusted: 3.1%. Dollar amount: $26,160. Rule applied: ELEVATED VOL - Moderate reduction. Risk per trade: $523 (2% of position). Max loss if stopped: $14,127. Kelly criterion suggests: 1% optimal.
Current vol: 54%, Baseline: 42%, Account: $840873, Base size: 4%
Analyze market microstructure
MICROSTRUCTURE: 460 ticks/sec | Spread 0.924% | Depth imbalance -48.4% | Quote stuffing: YES. Market structure: WIDE SPREAD. Trading environment: Poor liquidity. Recommended strategy: Use limit orders only. Edge assessment: Costly to trade. Optimal order type: Limit. Execution timing: Off-peak preferred.
Ticks/sec: 460, Spread: 0.924%, Depth imbalance: -48.4%, Quote stuffing: True
Implement Scalping strategy with $31781 capital and 2.5% risk
STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION: Scalping | Capital: $31,781, Risk: 2.5%. Position Size: $794 per trade. Stop Loss: 7%. Take Profit: 26%. Expected Trades: 28 per month.
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Analyze completed trade
POST-TRADE ANALYSIS: DOGE profit -12.17% in 49 weeks. Entry: good | Exit: early | Risk: poor. Key lesson: Small win, consider if risk/reward was worth it. Improvements needed: Better entry timing, Exit strategy optimization, Risk management enhancement. Grade: B. Add to playbook: No.
Trade: DOGE, Result: profit -12.17%, Duration: 49 weeks
Perform technical analysis
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: BTC shows Diamond pattern. RSI at 31 (Neutral zone). MACD: bullish cross. Price vs MA: Trend transition. Volume: increasing. Signal: BUY. Confidence: 67%. Target: $51814.60, Stop: $46537.19.
BTC at $47976.49, RSI: 31, MACD: bullish_cross, MA50: $46487.02, MA200: $48740.65
Assess risk management
RISK ASSESSMENT: Account $1,000 with 2.0252720919679925% risk per trade = $20 position size. Current exposure: 19.7% across 8 positions. Risk Level: LOW - Can increase. Drawdown: 10.3% of 19.5% max. Available margin: $803. Max new positions: 14. Kelly Criterion suggests: 1.8% optimal.
Account: $1000, Risk/trade: 2.0252720919679925%, Positions: 8, Exposure: 19.678466596494783%
Score strategy effectiveness
STRATEGY SCORE: Volume_Profile in crab market. Metrics: Win 79% | PF 1.55 | Sharpe 0.58 | Sample 551. Grade: B GOOD. Action: Use 75% position size. Statistical confidence: HIGH. Recommendation: Continue and scale.
Strategy: Volume_Profile, Win rate: 79%, Profit factor: 1.55, Sharpe: 0.58, Trades: 551, Market: crab
Find arbitrage opportunity
ARBITRAGE SCAN: CROSS EXCHANGE opportunity. ATOM price gap: 0.724% between Bybit ($8.97) and OKX ($8.90). Total fees: 0.14%. Net profit: 0.484%. Status: MARGINAL PROFIT. Action: Only worth with large volume. Execution time: ~34 seconds. Volume limit: $384176. Risk: Moderate risk.
ATOM on Bybit: $8.97, OKX: $8.90, Type: cross_exchange
Implement HODL strategy with $60620 capital and 1.2% risk
COGNITIVE STRATEGY: HODL | Capital: $60,620, Risk: 1.2%. Detailed implementation plan with entry/exit rules.
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Implement HODL strategy with $76008 capital and 4.1% risk
COGNITIVE STRATEGY: HODL | Capital: $76,008, Risk: 4.1%. Detailed implementation plan with entry/exit rules.
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Detect overconfidence
EUPHORIA WARNING: 11 consecutive wins, +84% week. Overconfidence score: 10/10. Historical outcome after such streaks: 76% give back within days. Action: REDUCE all positions 50%, lock in profits, lower leverage to 1x maximum.
Won 11 trades straight, up +84% this week
Analyze current market conditions
MARKET ANALYSIS: BNB at $249.19 (-16.8% 24h). Market Status: Strong Bearish. Volume: $1.58B (Normal). Dominance: 18.5%. Action: Avoid longs, consider shorts. Support: $236.73, Resistance: $261.65. Trend: Downtrend.
BNB Price: $249.19, 24h: -16.8%, Volume: $1.58B, Rank: #13
Analyze SOL trading strategy in Sideways market at $42620
FOUNDATION ANALYSIS for SOL | Market: Sideways, Price: $42,620. Strategy recommendation based on market conditions and technical analysis.
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Track version deployment
VERSION CONTROL: v1.15.942 (hotfix). Changes: 43 files modified. Test coverage: 93%. Deploy status: FAST TRACK DEPLOY. Action: Deploy immediately with monitoring. Risk level: HIGH. Rollback plan: Automatic rollback ready. Changelog: Hotfix - Performance improved 20%. Next version ETA: 11 days.
Version: v1.15.942, Type: hotfix, Changes: 43 files, Test coverage: 93%
Perform technical analysis
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: MATIC shows Descending Triangle pattern. RSI at 39 (Neutral zone). MACD: bearish cross. Price vs MA: Strong downtrend. Volume: decreasing. Signal: HOLD. Confidence: 85%. Target: $1.22, Stop: $1.10.
MATIC at $1.13, RSI: 39, MACD: bearish_cross, MA50: $1.16, MA200: $1.23
Determine if double confirmation needed
DOUBLE CONFIRMATION: Trade $18,772 (1% of account). Requirement: SINGLE CONFIRMATION. Checks: Review and confirm. Forced wait: 10 seconds. Risk level: high | Market: volatile. Confirmation checklist: ☐ Amount correct ☐ Direction right ☐ Stop loss set ☐ Risk acceptable. Override possible: Yes with reason. Safety score: 79/100. Rule: Trades >1% of account always need confirmation.
Trade size: $18772, Account %: 1%, Risk: high, Market: volatile
Integration test results?
✅ INTEGRATION TESTS • Results: - Passed: 464/471 - Failed: 11 - Skipped: 10 • Coverage: - Unit: 96% - Integration: 79% - E2E: 62% • Performance: Improved • Next run: 18h
Test suites: 212, Pass rate: 100%, Coverage: 95%
RSI: 46, Volume: Normal. What's your decision?
DECISION ANALYSIS | RSI: 46 (Neutral), Volume: Normal. DECISION: Sell. Reasoning: Risk management. Confidence: 70%.
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Perform on-chain analysis
ON-CHAIN ANALYSIS: BTC network activity - 578k active addresses (-26.4% vs 30d avg). Daily transactions: 220k. Hash rate: +29.8%. Exchange balance: -8.3% change. Long-term holders: +0.9% change. Signal: BULLISH - Coins leaving exchanges. Network health: Strong. Miner/Validator sentiment: Positive.
BTC Active addresses: 578k, Transactions: 220k
India announces Tax regulation change. What are the implications for crypto investors?
⚖️ **Regulatory Impact Analysis** **Event:** India Tax regulation change **Date:** 2025-08-08 **Severity:** HIGH **Immediate Implications:** 1. **Market Impact:** • Expected price movement: -27% initial drop • Affected tokens: Specific segments • Trading volume: Spike due to panic selling 2. **Investor Actions Required:** • Review portfolio exposure to India • Consider geographic diversification • Evaluate compliance requirements • Assess tax implications 3. **Long-term Outlook:** • Regulatory clarity: Improved • Innovation impact: Redirected • Market maturation: Delayed **Risk Mitigation Strategies:** • Diversify across jurisdictions • Maintain compliance documentation • Use regulated exchanges • Consider DeFi alternatives • Keep updated on regulatory changes
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Execute meta-learning optimization loop
META-LEARNING LOOP #216: Testing v3.8.1. Status: IMPROVING SLOWLY. Last cycle: +2.07% change. Convergence rate: 0.713. Action: Try larger parameter changes. Estimated iterations to optimum: 14. Parameters to test: 20. Next test: Threshold adjustment.
Iteration: 216, Version: v3.8.1, Last improvement: 2.07%, Convergence rate: 0.713
RSI: 41, Volume: Normal. What's your decision?
DECISION ANALYSIS | RSI: 41 (Neutral), Volume: Normal. DECISION: Sell. Reasoning: Risk management. Confidence: 77%.
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Analyze SOL trading strategy in Volatile market at $46624
TRADING ANALYSIS for SOL | Market: Volatile, Price: $46,624. Strategy: Range trading. Risk Level: High. Expected Return: 14%. Time Frame: 1D.
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Assess current liquidity conditions
LIQUIDITY CYCLE: 14:00 UTC holiday. Active exchanges: 1/10. Liquidity: LOW - wide spreads. Best strategy now: Small size only. Market maker activity: 66%.
Time: 14:00 UTC on holiday, 1 major exchanges active
Check if strategy adaptation needed
ADAPTATION TRIGGER: URGENT ADAPTATION REQUIRED. Performance: 18% | Losses: 13 consecutive | Age: 218 days. Root cause: Possible strategy decay. Urgency: CRITICAL. Action: Stop current strategy immediately. Next review in: 1 days.
Performance change: 18%, Consecutive losses: 13, Strategy age: 218 days, Market change: volatility doubled
Assess risk management
RISK ASSESSMENT: Account $500,000 with 1.5777993471917604% risk per trade = $7,889 position size. Current exposure: 4.2% across 6 positions. Risk Level: LOW - Can increase. Drawdown: 5.4% of 10.5% max. Available margin: $479,112. Max new positions: 29. Kelly Criterion suggests: 1.8% optimal.
Account: $500000, Risk/trade: 1.5777993471917604%, Positions: 6, Exposure: 4.177563144928643%
Assess risk management
RISK ASSESSMENT: Account $5,000 with 1.9403483152042764% risk per trade = $97 position size. Current exposure: 19.7% across 2 positions. Risk Level: LOW - Can increase. Drawdown: 6.0% of 29.5% max. Available margin: $4,017. Max new positions: 15. Kelly Criterion suggests: 1.9% optimal.
Account: $5000, Risk/trade: 1.9403483152042764%, Positions: 2, Exposure: 19.65613048690922%
Analyze this recurring pattern
PATTERN MEMORY: head_shoulders on SEI at $0.9191. Historical success rate: 57% in crab conditions. Occurrences: 22. Confidence: MEDIUM. Action: WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
SEI: head_shoulders pattern at $0.9191, seen 22 times in crab market
Retrieve from extended memory
📚 MEMORY RETRIEVAL: Accessing correlation_matrix. Query: risk_event. Results: Correlation matrix shows 17 significant relationships above 78% threshold. Relevance: 78% match. Memory confidence: 84%. Data age: 128 days old. Recommendation: Consider as reference only. Memory integration: Partial weight.
Memory type: correlation_matrix, Query: risk_event, Relevance threshold: 78%
Check for fat finger errors
FAT FINGER PROTECTION: Intended 107 UNI → Entered 1.07 UNI. Detection: SIZE DEVIATION. Severity: MEDIUM. Action: Yellow warning - Check amount. Potential impact: $4,118,876 opportunity cost. Safeguards: Max single order: 214 UNI. Require confirmation if >160.5. Protection rules: Amounts 2x normal require double confirmation. Auto-correction: No - proceed as entered.
Intended: 107 UNI, Entered: 1.07 UNI, Price: $38883
Spot $50000, Futures $49897, Funding 0.125%. Arbitrage?
📊 **Spot-Futures Arbitrage Analysis** **Market Prices:** • Spot Price: $50,000 • Futures Price: $49,897 • Premium/Discount: $-103 • Funding Rate: 0.125% per 8h ❌ **NO SIGNIFICANT ARBITRAGE** • Spread too small
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Analyze SOL trading strategy in Bull market at $47260
FOUNDATION ANALYSIS for SOL | Market: Bull, Price: $47,260. Strategy recommendation based on market conditions and technical analysis.
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Security audit checklist for protecting against wallet drainer attacks
📋 **Security Audit Checklist: Wallet Drainer Protection** **Audit Date:** 2025-08-08 **Risk Area:** wallet drainer **Personal Security Audit:** **Passwords & Authentication:** ☐ Unique passwords for each platform ☐ Password manager in use ☐ 2FA enabled everywhere possible ☐ Hardware keys for critical accounts ☐ Recovery codes backed up securely **Wallet Security:** ☐ Hardware wallet for main holdings ☐ Seed phrase securely stored offline ☐ Never typed seed phrase online ☐ Multiple wallets for different purposes ☐ Regular permission audits **Communication Channels:** ☐ Privacy settings maximized ☐ DMs restricted or disabled ☐ Official channels verified ☐ Suspicious messages reported ☐ No personal info in profiles **Transaction Habits:** ☐ Always verify addresses ☐ Test transactions first ☐ Check gas fees for anomalies ☐ Review approvals before signing ☐ Use transaction simulation tools **Knowledge & Awareness:** ☐ Familiar with common scams ☐ Follow security news ☐ Part of security communities ☐ Regular security training ☐ Incident response plan ready **Score:** 13/20 items checked **Risk Level:** Medium **Next Audit:** 2025-09-07 **Priority Improvements:** 1. Enable 2FA on remaining accounts 2. Update incident response plan 3. Review privacy settings
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Analyze market psychology
MARKET PSYCHOLOGY: Fear & Greed Index at 25/100. FEAR - Accumulation zone. Social sentiment: neutral. Retail traders: long. Whale activity: inactive. Funding rate: 0.289% (Longs paying). Contrarian signal: NEUTRAL. Market phase: Accumulation.
Fear&Greed: 25, Social: neutral, Retail: long, Funding: 0.289%
RSI: 29, Volume: Normal. What's your decision?
DECISION ANALYSIS | RSI: 29 (Oversold), Volume: Normal. DECISION: Hold. Reasoning: Market uncertainty. Confidence: 65%.
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Execute rollback if needed
ROLLBACK ASSESSMENT: Issue: wrong_parameters in v4.5.91. Decision: FIX OR ROLLBACK. Urgency: MEDIUM. Rollback to: v3.8.95. Expected downtime: 12 minutes. Data loss risk: LOW. Steps: 1) Stop trading 2) Backup current state 3) Rollback code 4) Verify integrity 5) Resume with v3.8.95. Post-rollback: Investigate root cause. Alternative: Hot fix possible.
Current: v4.5.91, Previous: v3.8.95, Issue: wrong_parameters, Deployed: 18 hours ago
Implement HODL strategy with $38134 capital and 2.2% risk
COGNITIVE STRATEGY: HODL | Capital: $38,134, Risk: 2.2%. Detailed implementation plan with entry/exit rules.
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Analyze BTC trading strategy in Bear market at $21391
TRADING ANALYSIS for BTC | Market: Bear, Price: $21,391. Strategy: Buy the dip. Risk Level: Medium. Expected Return: 22%. Time Frame: 1W.
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Integration test results?
✅ INTEGRATION TESTS • Results: - Passed: 405/473 - Failed: 4 - Skipped: 10 • Coverage: - Unit: 99% - Integration: 73% - E2E: 62% • Performance: Degraded • Next run: 21h
Test suites: 177, Pass rate: 90%, Coverage: 83%
RSI: 35, Whale activity: neutral, News: bullish. What's your trading decision?
🎯 **Multi-Criteria Trading Decision** **Data Analysis:** • RSI: 35 - Neutral • Whale Activity: Neutral • News Sentiment: Bullish **Signal Weighting:** • RSI Signal: 0 (Weight: 30%) • Whale Signal: 0 (Weight: 40%) • News Signal: + (Weight: 30%) **Composite Score:** 0.30 **Decision:** **HOLD/WAIT** 🟡 • Insufficient confluence • Wait for clearer signals • Monitor for breakout/breakdown **Reasoning:** Signals align bullishly with 30.0% confidence
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Learn from peer traders
PEER LEARNING: Source: algo_community teaching risk_management. Credibility: 61%. Trust assessment: LOW - Limited proof. Action: Research thoroughly. Key insight: New technique: Order flow. Integration approach: Paper trade 50+ times. Value: LOW - Note but verify.
Source: algo_community, Learning: risk_management, Credibility: 61%
Analyze on-chain activity
ON-CHAIN FORENSICS: exchange wallet with 992 transactions showing normal pattern. Alert: NORMAL ACTIVITY. Action: Continue monitoring. Confidence: 50%. Historical correlation with price: 52%. Time lag: 12h typically.
Wallet type: exchange, Transactions: 992, Pattern: normal
Implement DCA strategy with $34905 capital and 1.3% risk
COGNITIVE STRATEGY: DCA | Capital: $34,905, Risk: 1.3%. Detailed implementation plan with entry/exit rules.
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Optimize portfolio using Rebalancing
REBALANCING PROTOCOL for $976113 | Frequency for 1 month: Monthly. Threshold method: Rebalance when any asset deviates >20% from target. 10 assets makes: ~$4881 estimated gas/trading costs. Moderate approach: 20% deviation. Tax consideration: Use new deposits to rebalance first. Backtest shows: 15-20% better risk-adjusted returns with discipline.
{"strategy": "Rebalancing", "portfolio_value": "$976113", "num_assets": 10, "risk_tolerance": "Moderate", "time_horizon": "1 month"}
Generate risk warning
⚠️ RISK WARNING: CRITICAL - news event risk 1 hour. Details: Major announcement in 1 hour. REQUIRED ACTION: EXIT ALL POSITIONS IMMEDIATELY. Potential impact: 5% portfolio volatility. Safe haven: USDT/USDC. Duration: 34 hours expected.
Warning type: news event, Severity: CRITICAL, Timeline: 1 hour
Analyze correlation breakdown
CORRELATION BREAKDOWN: BNB-AVAX correlation shifted from 79% to -21% due to fundamental_change. Status: MAJOR BREAKDOWN. Action: Trade the divergence. Opportunity: High probability mean reversion. Expected reversion time: 60 hours. Historical accuracy: 79%.
BNB-AVAX normal: 79%, current: -21%, trigger: fundamental_change
Analyze this backtest result and provide detailed performance report: Strategy: grid_trading Backtest Period: 3 months Initial Capital: $5,000 Trading Results: - Total Trades: 736 - Winning Trades: 375 - Losing Trades: 361 - Average Win: 2.49% - Average Loss: 1.13% Provide comprehensive analysis with improvement suggestions.
## Backtest Performance Analysis - Grid Trading ### Executive Summary Period: 3 months | Initial Capital: $5,000 | Final Capital: $31,440.94 ### Performance Metrics **Profitability:** - Total Return: $26,440.94 (+528.82%) - Win Rate: 50.95% - Profit Factor: 2.30 - Average Win/Loss Ratio: 2.22 **Risk Metrics:** - Maximum Drawdown: 12.21% - Sharpe Ratio: 0.928 - Calmar Ratio: 43.311 - Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.22 ### Trade Analysis **Distribution:** - Total Trades: 736 - Winning Trades: 375 (51.0%) - Losing Trades: 361 (49.0%) - Average Trade Duration: 1.2 days **Performance by Period:** - Best Month: 19.9% return - Worst Month: -6.9% return - Consecutive Wins (Max): 8 - Consecutive Losses (Max): 6 ### Strategy Evaluation **Strengths:** ✅ Good profit factor of 2.30 ✅ Manageable drawdowns ✅ Scalable strategy with high trade frequency **Weaknesses:** ⚠️ Room for risk optimization ⚠️ Consider position sizing optimization ### Statistical Significance **Monte Carlo Simulation Results (1000 runs):** - 95% Confidence Interval: [370.17%, 687.46%] - Probability of Profit: 75.5% - Expected Maximum Drawdown: 14.65% - Risk of Ruin (50% capital loss): 2.84% ### Optimization Recommendations 1. **Entry Optimization:** - Consider scaling into positions - Add spread thresholds 2. **Exit Strategy:** - Dynamic profit targets - Current R:R of 1:2.22 is good, maintain 3. **Risk Management:** - Reduce position size by 13% during high volatility - Implement daily loss limit at 3.7% of capital - Consider portfolio heat: max 2% risk across all positions 4. **Market Conditions:** - Strategy performs best in volatile conditions - Avoid low liquidity periods ### Forward Testing Recommendations Before live deployment: 1. Paper trade for minimum 1 month 2. Start with 12% of intended position size 3. Monitor slippage vs backtest assumptions 4. Track execution quality metrics 5. Validate risk parameters in real market conditions
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Analyze Value Area (VA)
VALUE AREA: VAH $99532.65 | VAL $82835.86 | Current $95538.74. Position: INSIDE VALUE. 71% of volume traded in VA. Width: 20.2%. Market bias: Neutral - In balance. Strategy: Trade VA edges. Risk assessment: Higher - choppy action. Edge trades: Short at VAH. Breakout target: 104509.28 above, 78694.07 below.
VAH: $99532.65, VAL: $82835.86, Current: $95538.74, Volume in VA: 71%
Analyze LINK trading strategy in Bull market at $45781
TRADING ANALYSIS for LINK | Market: Bull, Price: $45,781. Strategy: Ride the trend. Risk Level: High. Expected Return: 47%. Time Frame: 1W.
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Check calendar impact on trading
CALENDAR ALERT: Golden Week coming in 1 days. Impact level: LOW. Action: NORMAL TRADING. Historical volatility during Golden Week: 77%. Prepare: Tighten stops.
Event: Golden Week in 1 days, expected impact: low
Analyze volume and liquidity
VOLUME & LIQUIDITY: OP 24h volume $1.73B (+52.4% change). Liquidity status: GOOD - Liquid. Bid-ask spread: 0.108% (Normal). Order book depth: $3.1M within 2%. Large orders (>$100k): 19. Volume profile: Increasing interest. Slippage estimate for $1M: 0.34%. Best trading times: Avoid large orders.
OP Volume: $1.73B, Change: 52.4%, Spread: 0.108%
Implement DCA strategy with $65412 capital and 3.9% risk
STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION: DCA | Capital: $65,412, Risk: 3.9%. Position Size: $2576 per trade. Stop Loss: 6%. Take Profit: 14%. Expected Trades: 32 per month.
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Execute meta-learning optimization loop
META-LEARNING LOOP #770: Testing v4.3.38. Status: IMPROVING RAPIDLY. Last cycle: +12.54% change. Convergence rate: 0.015. Action: Continue current direction. Estimated iterations to optimum: 100. Parameters to test: 12. Next test: Hyperparameter tuning.
Iteration: 770, Version: v4.3.38, Last improvement: 12.54%, Convergence rate: 0.015
Analyze BTC trading strategy in Sideways market at $48705
FOUNDATION ANALYSIS for BTC | Market: Sideways, Price: $48,705. Strategy recommendation based on market conditions and technical analysis.
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BTC için mikro zaman diliminde pattern analizi yap. Son 10 tick: ['$22340.33', '$22341.10', '$22340.53', '$22340.57', '$22340.65', '$22341.12', '$22340.79', '$22340.39', '$22340.29', '$22340.57']. Volume artışı: 150%
⚡ HIGH-FREQUENCY ANALİZ 🔍 Tespit Edilen Pattern: SPOOFING_DETECTED • Süre: 1-2 seconds • Volume spike: 150% 🚫 MANİPÜLASYON TESPİT EDİLDİ • Spoofing emirleri görüldü • Fake volume detected • ÖNERİ: İşlem yapma, bekle • Gerçek likidite bekleniyor
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Analyze ETH trading strategy in Bear market at $34048
TRADING ANALYSIS for ETH | Market: Bear, Price: $34,048. Strategy: Buy the dip. Risk Level: High. Expected Return: 21%. Time Frame: 1M.
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Evaluate trading strategy
STRATEGY ANALYSIS: Day Trading on SOL (1h). Market condition: volatile. Strategy fit: SUBOPTIMAL. Expected win rate: 57% with 1.2:1 R:R. Profit expectancy: 0.27. Recommended position size: 3% per trade. Entry rules: Technical signals. Max daily trades: 5.
Strategy: Day Trading, Coin: SOL, Timeframe: 1h, Market: volatile
Implement Grid Trading strategy with $94829 capital and 4.3% risk
STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION: Grid Trading | Capital: $94,829, Risk: 4.3%. Position Size: $4082 per trade. Stop Loss: 8%. Take Profit: 25%. Expected Trades: 20 per month.
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Check correlation patterns
CORRELATION MEMORY: OP +13% → MATIC follows 91% of time with 10hr lag. Average follow move: +9.1%. Setup MATIC entry for expected move.
OP moved +13%, what happens to MATIC
Perform technical analysis
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: DOT shows Ascending Triangle pattern. RSI at 58 (Neutral zone). MACD: bullish cross. Price vs MA: Strong uptrend. Volume: stable. Signal: HOLD. Confidence: 94%. Target: $5.10, Stop: $4.58.
DOT at $4.73, RSI: 58, MACD: bullish_cross, MA50: $4.70, MA200: $4.55
Analyze market psychology
MARKET PSYCHOLOGY: Fear & Greed Index at 30/100. FEAR - Accumulation zone. Social sentiment: extreme bearish. Retail traders: heavily long. Whale activity: accumulating. Funding rate: -0.064% (Shorts paying). Contrarian signal: NEUTRAL. Market phase: Transition.
Fear&Greed: 30, Social: extreme_bearish, Retail: heavily_long, Funding: -0.064%
Arbitrage opportunity: triangular_arb
**Arbitrage Analysis: triangular_arb** Checking arbitrage opportunities. • Spread: 0.12% • Profitability: No • Risk Level: Low
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Analyze LINK trading strategy in Volatile market at $1011
TRADING ANALYSIS for LINK | Market: Volatile, Price: $1,011. Strategy: Range trading. Risk Level: High. Expected Return: 36%. Time Frame: 1W.
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Analyze on-chain activity
ON-CHAIN FORENSICS: smart_money wallet with 213 transactions showing suspicious pattern. Alert: HIGH RISK ALERT. Action: Exit positions. Confidence: 90%. Historical correlation with price: 73%. Time lag: 44h typically.
Wallet type: smart_money, Transactions: 213, Pattern: suspicious
Manage execution slippage
SLIPPAGE ANALYSIS: Expected $32927 → Actual $31946.79. Slippage: 2.977% ($980.21). Assessment: EXCESSIVE SLIPPAGE. Market depth: moderate | Order: whale. Context: As expected for conditions. Action: Review execution venue/method. Improvement: Use iceberg orders. Cost impact: $32347 on full position. Acceptable range: <1.0%.
Expected: $32927, Actual: $31946.79, Volume: moderate, Order size: whale
API endpoint çökerse failover mekanizması nasıl çalışmalı?
🔧 FAILOVER MEKANİZMASI - API ENDPOINT **Primary System Status:** • System: API endpoint • Uptime SLA: 99.25% • Current status: DOWN • Last heartbeat: 200 saniye önce **Failover Architecture:** ``` Primary API endpoint ↓ (Health check every 5s) Monitor detects failure ↓ (Trigger time: 930ms) Activate secondary system ↓ (Switchover: 2740ms) Sync state & resume ``` **Backup Sistemler:** 1. **Secondary:** AWS - Warm standby 2. **Tertiary:** On-premise - Cold standby 3. **Emergency:** Read-only cache **Failover Triggers:** • Response time > 1996ms • Error rate > 2% • Connection timeouts > 8/min • Health endpoint failure **State Management:** • Data sync method: Real-time replication • RPO (Recovery Point Objective): 14 saniye • RTO (Recovery Time Objective): 274 saniye • Data consistency: Strong **Testing Protocol:** ✓ Chaos engineering: Daily drills ✓ Load testing: 6458 TPS capacity ✓ Failback procedure: Scheduled **Monitoring & Alerts:** • PagerDuty: Severity P2 • Slack: #incidents channel • Email: On-call engineer • SMS: 4 dakika escalation **Post-Mortem Template:** 1. Incident duration: 59 dakika 2. Affected users: 2179 3. Root cause: Network partition 4. Revenue impact: $43129 5. Action items: 10 improvements
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Perform technical analysis
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: BTC shows Cup and Handle pattern. RSI at 23 (Oversold - Potential bounce). MACD: neutral. Price vs MA: Trend transition. Volume: decreasing. Signal: HOLD. Confidence: 73%. Target: $54122.97, Stop: $48610.45.
BTC at $50113.86, RSI: 23, MACD: neutral, MA50: $50608.61, MA200: $46575.89
Analyze on-chain activity
ON-CHAIN FORENSICS: team wallet with 380 transactions showing distribution pattern. Alert: HIGH RISK ALERT. Action: Exit positions. Confidence: 90%. Historical correlation with price: 53%. Time lag: 33h typically.
Wallet type: team, Transactions: 380, Pattern: distribution
Decision tree scenario: stop_loss_tree
🌲 **Decision Tree: stop_loss_tree** **Level 1: Initial Assessment** ├─ Signal Detection: ✗ ├─ Risk Assessment: 6/10 └─ Confidence: 67% **Level 2: Decision Branch** ✅ Conditions Met → PROCEED • Action: Execute trade • Size: 4% of portfolio
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Analyze ETH trading strategy in Bull market at $43587
FOUNDATION ANALYSIS for ETH | Market: Bull, Price: $43,587. Strategy recommendation based on market conditions and technical analysis.
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Portfolio heat analysis
VOLATILITY-ADJUSTED SIZING | INJ volatility: 132%, Base risk: 2.0%. Adjusted position: 0.8% of $927,441 = $7,026.07. Formula: Base Risk × (Target Vol / Actual Vol). Target: 50% annual. High volatility = smaller position, preserves consistent risk. Dynamic adjustment: Recalculate with 20-day realized vol. Benefits: Adapts to market conditions, smoother equity curve. Implementation: Update daily/weekly based on volatility regime.
{"account_size": 927441, "risk_percentage": "4.1%", "win_rate": "43.7%", "average_rr": "1.5", "strategy": "Volatility Adjusted", "asset": "INJ", "volatility": "132%"}
Evaluate trading strategy
STRATEGY ANALYSIS: Scalping on AVAX (5m). Market condition: volatile. Strategy fit: PERFECT FIT. Expected win rate: 69% with 2.5:1 R:R. Profit expectancy: 1.45. Recommended position size: 4% per trade. Entry rules: Technical signals. Max daily trades: 20.
Strategy: Scalping, Coin: AVAX, Timeframe: 5m, Market: volatile
Analyze BNB trading strategy in Sideways market at $6173
TRADING ANALYSIS for BNB | Market: Sideways, Price: $6,173. Strategy: Range trading. Risk Level: Low. Expected Return: 30%. Time Frame: 1W.
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Implement Swing strategy with $42247 capital and 3.3% risk
STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION: Swing | Capital: $42,247, Risk: 3.3%. Position Size: $1406 per trade. Stop Loss: 3%. Take Profit: 15%. Expected Trades: 21 per month.
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Order flow analysis: block_trades
**Order Flow: block_trades** Analyzing order flow patterns. • Buy Volume: $7,407,584 • Sell Volume: $6,859,577 • Net Flow: Neutral
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